Press Release

October 30, 2008

Contact: Michael Bustamonte 916-425-0839


Poll of California Latinos Find Support for Obama over McCain by More Than Two-to-One Margin

Preliminary Data - click here

LOS ANGELES, CA – In a groundbreaking internet poll that asked California Latino voters their opinion about all of California’s Initiatives, the presidential contest, and whether they are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States, the William C. Velasquez Institute (WCVI), a national Latino non-partisan public policy organization, found that California Latino voters oppose Proposition 8, strongly support both renewable energy initiatives on the ballot, and overwhelmingly approve investing in both high speed rail and children’s hospital expansions. By a margin of more than 2-1, California Latinos support Barack Obama over John McCain to be the next President of the United States.

Proposition 8, a measure which would eliminate the right of same-sex couples to marry, was failing by 5 percentage points, 46%-51%. At the same time, the survey of 1,423 Latinos in California also found that Proposition 4, which would require parental notification of an abortion by a minor in a statistical dead heat, with 47.9% supporting the initiative and 46.8% opposing. Latino voters were slightly opposed to California’s “Redistricting” initiative, Proposition 11, with 36% opposing the initiative, 32.5% supportive and nearly a third, 32.4%, still undecided.

While not sold on some of the social measures on the ballot for next Tuesday, Latino voters strongly support both renewable energy initiatives. Proposition 10, the so-called wind-power initiative, was supported by more than half of respondents, winning the support of 50.3% to 30% opposed. At the same time, Latino voters support Proposition 7, a measure requiring utilities to expand California ’s renewable energy portfolio by a margin of 47.3% to 37.8%.

In addition to supporting both renewable energy initiatives, respondents overwhelmingly support Proposition 1A, the bond act that would construct a high-speed railway, by more than 26 points, 57.6% to 31%. And, by a margin of more than 2 to 1, respondents support Proposition 3, the act that would authorize bonding authority for capital improvements of children’s hospitals statewide, 61.3% to 26.9%.

Proposition 2, the initiative that would change the way egg-laying hens and other farm animals are treated, has a considerable lead among California Latinos, winning by a 64.7% to 26.8% margin.

By more than a two-to-one margin, California Latinos overwhelmingly support Senator Barack Obama over Senator John McCain, 65% to 28.1%, with only 4.6% still undecided. When asked if they are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States, respondents registered a tremendous dissatisfaction, with only 6.4% saying they are satisfied, compared to 88.5% saying they are dissatisfied.

The internet poll conducted by WCVI had a sample size of 1,423 respondents and was conducted during October 22-28. Margin of error: 2.6%. To review the preliminary analysis, click here.

About WCVI

The William C. Velásquez Institute (WCVI) is a tax-exempt, non-profit, non-partisan public policy analysis organization chartered in 1985. The purpose of WCVI is to: conduct research aimed at improving the level of political and economic participation in Latino and other underrepresented communities; To provide information to Latino leaders relevant to the needs of their constituents; To inform the Latino leadership and public about the impact of public policies on Latinos; To inform the Latino leadership and public about political opinions and behavior of Latinos.

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