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2006 WCVI Exit Poll Results

WCVI Exit Poll Results and Turnout Analysis for the November 7, 2006 General Election

Additional Data

About the Exit Survey

The William C. Velásquez Institute (WCVI) conducted an exit poll to measure how Latinos voted during the November 2006 General elections. The survey was administered by trained interviewers in both English and Spanish.  WCVI pollsters interviewed 1,320 Latino voters in 53 precincts in 8 states (Florida, Arizona, New Mexico, California, Texas, New York, New Jersey, and Illinois), which comprise 82% of all registered Latino voters. The sample was designed to cover 82% of all Latino voters in the country.  Precincts from 5% to 100% of registered Latino voters were included in the sample. The design is a stratified, two-stage, probability-based sample.  Precincts were included in the universe if they met minimum levels with respect to number and percentage of Latino voters.  Precincts were then stratified by geography and percent Latino voter population.  The voter’s poll touched on issues especially relevant to the Latino community which where either represented in the November election or are subject of on going local and national debate.

The margin of error for this study is + 2.8%. Results may not add up to 100% due to rounding. Margin of error higher for subgroups.

Simultaneously, WCVI also conducted separate exit surveys of Latino voters in California & Florida. WCVI Pollsters conducted 751 exit interviews in California, 431 exit interviews in Florida and 484 exit interviews in Texas. Each state survey duplicated the methodology of the national survey.

The margin of error for California was +/- 3.6%.

The margin of error for Florida was +/- 4.0%.

The margin of error for Texas was +/- 3.8%.

Margin of error higher for subgroups.

Toplines for WCVI Exit Poll Results for November 7, 2006 General Election

Last Updated Friday, December 22, 2006

1. For whom did you vote in your Congressional District race?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Democratic Candidate
69.96%
70.62%
65.44%
69.66%
Republican Candidate
25.96%
23.34%
33.26%
27.23%
Other Candidate
4.08%
6.04%
1.30%
3.12%
2. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Satisfied
22.31%
21.55%
24.66%
21.95%
Dissatisfied
62.93%
63.31%
64.60%
66.79%
Unsure
14.77%
15.14%
10.74%
11.26%
3. Which comes closest to your view about what government policy should be toward illegal immigrants currently residing in the United States? Should the government:
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Make all illegal immigrants felons and send them back to their home country
6.78%
5.08%
9.27%
11.86%
Have a guest worker program that allows immigrants to remain in the United States in order to work, but only for a limited amount of time
16.61%
16.31%
17.55%
19.33%
Allow illegal immigrants to remain in the United States and become U.S. citizens, but only if they meet certain requirements like working and paying back taxes over a period of time
47.13%
45.73%
44.56%
48.08%
Grant amnesty to all illegal immigrants in the country, giving them residence and the right to work without the fear of being deported
20.55%
23.94%
18.96%
9.12%
None of the above
4.02%
3.84%
3.39%
7.02%
No opinion
4.91%
5.11%
6.27%
4.60%
4. Which one issue mattered most in deciding how you voted for Congress or the Senate?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Abortion
7.20%
7.18%
6.39%
4.94%
Education Policy
9.23%
10.31%
6.57%
8.50%
Disaster Preparedness & Relief
0.63%
1.18%
1.63%
0.41%
Economy/Jobs
21.73%
20.96%
17.67%
19.68%
Iraq War Policy
18.42%
13.94%
21.31%
24.12%
Energy Policy
0.89%
1.76%
0.21%
1.23%
The Environment
2.07%
4.61%
1.60%
1.68%
Health Policy
4.29%
4.26%
7.04%
4.09%
Immigration Policy
7.97%
12.27%
8.30%
4.93%
Public Education
6.23%
8.34%
2.45%
5.68%
War on Terrorism
9.25%
5.43%
9.29%
13.45%
Budget & Taxes
4.20%
3.56%
9.62%
4.34%
Gay Rights
1.78%
1.11%
1.39%
1.89%
Social Security
6.10%
5.09%
6.53%
5.07%
5. Do you favor keeping a large number of U.S. troops in Iraq until there is a stable government there OR bringing most of our troops home in the next year?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Wait for Stable Government
26.06%
23.77%
29.26%
26.66%
Bring Home Next Year
57.26%
58.93%
61.31%
61.79%
Unsure
16.68%
17.30%
9.43%
11.55%
6. How would you characterize your political affiliation? Are you a:
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Democrat
61.58%
65.04%
51.73%
53.87%
Republican
22.81%
19.89%
30.33%
24.24%
Green
1.26%
2.08%
1.63%
0.60%
Other Party
1.20%
1.40%
0.72%
1.20%
Independent
7.90%
6.05%
11.21%
12.34%
None of the above
5.26%
5.55%
4.38%
7.74%
Total Voted
7. Which of the following media sources most influenced for whom you voted in the 2006 General elections?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Spanish language newspapers
5.63%
7.24%
3.19%
0.14%
English language newspapers
11.78%
12.74%
10.88%
18.36%
Spanish language radio
3.13%
4.40%
2.66%
0.40%
English language radio
7.39%
8.09%
4.28%
9.90%
Spanish language TV
13.37%
12.19%
7.55%
2.70%
English language TV
27.50%
26.86%
29.81%
40.04%
Spanish language Internet
0.49%
1.34%
0.89%
0.00%
English language Internet
4.28%
3.70%
3.47%
7.52%
None influenced
26.43%
23.43%
37.26%
20.93%
8. Is this the first time you have voted?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Yes
8.08%
11.95%
10.40%
4.06%
No
91.92%
88.05%
89.60%
95.94%
9. If not born in the U.S., when did you become a citizen?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
During or before 2002
84.83%
84.43%
83.57%
90.06%
During 2003/2004
9.58%
9.74%
9.63%
1.49%
During 2005 /2006
5.59%
5.83%
6.80%
8.46%
10. In what country were you born?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
US
57.24%
56.12%
45.99%
92.38%
Mexico
14.42%
33.77%
1.30%
5.34%
Puerto Rico
12.49%
1.38%
15.85%
0.51%
Cuba
2.13%
1.20%
15.65%
0.00%
Central America
3.15%
5.29%
2.58%
0.19%
South America
3.81%
0.41%
6.04%
0.62%
Other Caribbean
4.13%
0.31%
9.99%
0.13%
Other
2.63%
1.51%
2.61%
0.83%
11. Are you Male or Female?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Male
51.07%
52.03%
51.93%
48.85%
Female
48.93%
47.97%
48.07%
51.15%
12. What is your ancestry?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Mexican-American/Mexican/Chicano
35.04%
63.48%
7.67%
73.06%
Puerto Rican/Boricua
21.90%
2.46%
28.43%
2.55%
Cuban/Cuban-American
3.97%
1.90%
24.23%
0.40%
Central American
7.56%
8.74%
6.40%
9.84%
South American
5.30%
1.63%
10.99%
2.13%
Caribbean
6.62%
1.01%
13.07%
0.46%
Latino or Hispanic
19.61%
20.77%
9.21%
11.55%
13. What age group best describes you:
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
18-24
8.98%
11.36%
8.00%
8.29%
25-29
10.33%
11.68%
6.98%
6.73%
30-34
11.29%
13.61%
7.57%
9.74%
35-39
11.92%
11.28%
11.15%
12.46%
40-44
13.77%
13.42%
15.06%
15.34%
45-49
9.53%
10.37%
7.80%
12.50%
50-54
11.01%
9.46%
12.28%
13.03%
55-59
6.32%
7.83%
6.14%
6.15%
60-64
6.08%
4.45%
8.75%
6.10%
65 or older
10.77%
6.53%
16.27%
9.65%
14. What is the highest grade in school you completed?
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Some high school or less
13.02%
12.85%
9.76%
5.98%
High school graduate or equivalent
22.68%
25.88%
20.11%
15.03%
Some college/vocational
29.83%
32.95%
32.97%
36.60%
College graduate
24.44%
19.19%
24.66%
28.32%
Graduate education or higher
10.03%
9.14%
12.50%
14.07%
15. If you added together your entire household's income, would it be:
U.S.
CA
FL
TX
Under $10,000
8.47%
6.08%
6.67%
3.88%
$10,001-$20,000
10.12%
11.62%
10.53%
8.93%
$20,001-$30,000
13.05%
13.89%
11.76%
10.50%
$30,001-$40,000
12.80%
14.62%
13.73%
12.29%
$40,001-$50,000
12.92%
13.88%
12.87%
12.89%
$50,001-$60,000
13.12%
11.93%
10.69%
13.54%
$60,001-$70,000
8.19%
8.55%
9.18%
11.11%
$70,001-$100,000
12.75%
11.90%
14.28%
16.63%
Over $100,000
8.56%
7.54%
10.28%
10.23%
16.ONLY CALIFORNIA VOTERS: Whom did you vote for in the Gubernatorial race?
CA
Phil Angelides
60.56%
Arnold Schwarzenegger
31.54%
Other Candidate
7.90%
17. ONLY CALIFORNIA VOTERS: In the 2006 General election, how did you vote on Proposition 84, the Clean Water, Parks and Coastal Protection Bond?
CA
Yes
82.42%
No
17.58%
18. ONLY CALIFORNIA VOTERS: In the 2006 General election, how did you vote on Proposition 87, the Alternative Energy Proposition?
CA
Yes
68.21%
No
31.79%
19. ONLY FLORIDA VOTERS: Whom did you vote for in the Gubernatorial race?
FL
Charlie Crist
42.80%
Jim Davis
55.75%
Other Candidate
1.45%
20. ONLY FLORIDA VOTERS: For whom did you vote in your Senate race?
FL
Katherine Harris
32.84%
Bill Nelson
64.28%
Other Candidate
2.88%
21. ONLY TEXAS VOTERS: Whom did you vote for in your Senate race?
TX
Kay Bailey Hutchison
44.22%
Barbara Ann Radnofsky
44.55%
Other Candidate
11.24%
22. ONLY TEXAS VOTERS: Whom did you vote for in the Gubernatorial race?
TX
Chris Bell
41.28%
“Kinky” Friedman
16.19%
Rick Perry
24.36%
Carole Keeton Strayhorn
15.37%
Other Candidate
2.79%
23. ONLY TEXAS VOTERS: Whom did you vote for in the Lieutenant Governor’s race?
TX
David Dewhurst
37.69%
Maria Luisa Alvarado
52.48%
Other Candidate
9.83%

 

 
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