National Latino Voters
2002 Poll Results

All Latino Voters

With which political party are you registered to vote?

 

Democrat

63%
Independent
16%

Republican

20%
Other
2%

 

In general, which language do you use most often?

 

Spanish only

18%
Mostly Spanish with some English
9%

Both Spanish and English equally

30%
Mostly English with some Spanish
26%
English only
17%

 

And which language is used most in your home?

 

Spanish only

23%
Mostly Spanish with some English
15%
Both Spanish and English equally
21%
Mostly English with some Spanish
22%
English only
20%

 

Which nationality group are you mainly descended from?

 

Puerto Rican

26%
Dominican
4%
Cuban
14%
Mexican
43%
Colombian
2%
Salvadorian
1%
Ecuadorian
1%
Other
3%
DK/ Refused
1%

 

This November, there will be an election to determine the Governor and the Congressional Representatives of your state. How likely are you to vote in the November, 2002 elections in your State? Are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely to vote?

 

Likely
94%
Unlikely
3%
DK/Refused
2%

 

How often would you say you vote in PRIMARY elections over the past few years, that is, elections in party primaries in order to choose the party candidate?

 

Likely
83%
Unlikely
17%
DK/ Refused
1%

 

How often would you say you vote in general elections in November over the past few years?

 

Always
66%
Nearly Always
14%
Part of the time
8%
Seldom
6%
Never Vote
6%
DK/ Refused
1%

 

How important is voting to you in general?

 

Important
96%
Not Important
4%
DK/Refused
1%

 

Which of the following statements is closer to your personal view? Please choose only one...

 

Economic future
31%
Political party
9%
Issue
46%
Favorite Candidate
11%
DK/ Refused
3%

 

How would you describe your own political beliefs, very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

 

Liberal
30%
Moderate
36%
Conservative
28%
NS/DK/Refused
5%

 

Which of the following issues or problems will be the most important to you personally in deciding how to vote in this year's election for U.S. Senate and Congress, your representatives in Washington?

 

Health Care
12%
Education
27%
Creating Jobs
11%
Crime
5%
Immigration
4%
Taxes
5%
Social Security
7%
Terrorism
13%
Prescription Drugs
7%
Other
5%
DK/ Refused
4%

 

And which of the following issues or problems will be the most important to you personally in deciding how to vote in this year's election for Governor of (INSERT STATE)?

 

Health Care
17%
Education
28%
Crime
7%
Immigration
5%
Taxes
8%
Social Security
7%
Terrorism
10%
Prescription Drugs
6%
Other
7%
DK/ Refused
4%

 

In the November elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, will you vote for (ROTATE) the Democratic Party candidate OR the Republican Party candidate? [IF CHOICE, ASK: " Would you say definitely or probably?"]

 

Dem
59%
GOP
17%
Depends
18%
Don't Know/ Refused
6%

 

If the November 2002 general election for Governor were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Democrat Gray Davis, Republican Bill Simon, and Green Party candidate Peter Camejo, for whom would you vote? [ IF Undecided/ REFUSED ASK: Which way would you LEAN as of today?]

 

Davis
57%
Simon
16%
Camejo
5%
Undecided
17%
Refused
5%

 

If the November 2002 general election for Governor were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Democrat Tony Sanchez and Republican Rick Perry, for whom would you vote? [IF Undecided/ REFUSED ASK: Which way would you LEAN as of today?]

 

Sanchez
56%
Perry
18%
Undecided
24%
Refused
2%

 

If the November 2002 general election for Governor were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Democrat Carl McCall and Republican George Pataki, for whom would you vote? [IF Undecided/ REFUSED ASK: Which way would you LEAN as of today?]

 

McCall
40%
Pataki
40%
Undecided
17%
Refused
2%

 

If the November 2002 general election for Governor were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Democrat Bill McBride and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom would you vote? [IF Undecided/ REFUSED ASK: Which way would you LEAN as of today?]

 

McBride
23%
Bush
65%
Undecided
11%
Refused
2%

 

If the November 2002 general election for Governor were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Democrat Rod Blagojevich (bluh-GOY-uh-VITCH) and Republican Jim Ryan, for whom would you vote? [IF Undecided/ REFUSED ASK:Which way would you LEAN as of today?]

 

Blagojevich
60%
Ryan
17%
Undecided
21%
Refused
3%

 

And if the November 2002 general election for United States Senator were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Democrat Ron Kirk and Republican John Cornyn, for whom would you vote? [IF Undecided/ REFUSED ASK: Which way would you LEAN as of today?]

 

Kirk
49%
Cornyn
16%
Undecided
32%
Refused
4%

 

And if the November 2002 general election for United States Senator were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Democrat Dick Durbin and Republican Jim Durkin, for whom would you vote? [IF Undecided/ REFUSED ASK: Which way would you LEAN as of today?]

 

Durbin
58%
Durkin
12%
Undecided
30%

 

And if the November 2002 general election for United States Senator were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Democrat Bob Toricelli (TORE-uh-SELL-ee) and Republican Doug Forrester, for whom would you vote? [IF Undecided/ REFUSED ASK: Which way would you LEAN as of today?]

 

Toricelli
46%
Forrester
15%
Undecided
33%
Refused
7%

 

Thinking specifically about the economy, how would you rate the condition of the nation's economy today - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

 

Good
30%
Poor
69%
Don't know/ Refused
1%

 

Do you think that your family's income is going up faster than the cost of living, staying about even with the cost of living, or is your family's income falling behind the cost of living?

 

Going up faster
9%
Staying even
34%
Falling behind
54%
Don't know/ Refused
2%

 

Generally speaking, which party do you trust more to have the right approach in promoting the nation's economic recovery - the Democrats of the Republicans?

 

Trust Democrats
54%
Trust Republicans
24%
Equally
5%
Neither
7%
Don't know/ Refused
9%

 

How would you rate the job George Bush is doing as President -- would you say he is doing an excellent job, a good job, a not so good job, or a poor job?

 

Good
70%
Poor
29%
Don't know/ Refused
2%

 

Is George W. Bush a typical Republican or a different kind of Republican?

 

Typical
45%
Different
41%
Don't know/ Refused
14%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush has responded to the recent corporate scandals including Enron, WorldCom, Tyco, and others? [IF APPROVE/ DISAPPROVE, ASK: Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?]

 

Approve
50%
Disapprove
32%
DK/ Refused
18%

 

Do you think George Bush cares more about protecting the interests of working families or cares more about protecting the interests of large corporations?

 

Working Families
30%
Large Corporations
48%
Both
10%
Neither
2%
Don't know/ Refused
9%

 

How would you rate the job the Republicans in Congress have done over the past 2 years -- would you say they have been doing an excellent job, a good job, a not so good job, or a poor job?

 

Excellent
6%
Good
40%
Not so good
33%
Poor
12%
Don't know/ Refused
9%

 

How would you rate the job the Democrats in Congress have done over the past 2 years -- would you say they have been doing an excellent job, a good job, a not so good job, or a poor job?

 

Good
56%
Poor
35%
Don't know/ Refused
9%

 

Generally speaking, which party do you trust more to have the right approach in dealing with corporate accounting scandals and protecting investors and employees - the Democrats or the Republicans?

 

Democrats More
49%
Republicans More
25%
Equally
5%
Neither
9%
Don't know/ Refused
11%

 

Do you think the Democrats in Congress care more about protecting the interests of working families or care more about protecting the interests of large corporations?

 

Working Families
59%
Large Corporations
18%
Both
8%
Neither
6%
Don't know/ Refused
9%

 

Do you think the Republicans in Congress care more about protecting the interests of working families or care more about protecting the interests of large corporations?

 

Working Families
19%
Large Corporations
57%
Both
10%
Neither
4%
Don't know/ Refused
10%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Bush administration has handled the Israeli-Palestinian conflict? [IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE, ASK: Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?]

 

Approve
58%
Disapprove
33%
DK/ Refused
9%

 

Do you feel that the U.S. has a responsibility to resolve the Middle East conflict?

 

Yes
52%
No
40%
No Opinion
5%
DK/ Refused
3%

 

Who do you believe is more responsible for the escalation of violence in the Middle East, the Israeli's or the Palestinians? [IF ISRAELIS/PALESTINIANS, ASK: Is that much more or somewhat more responsible?]

 

Israelis
21%
Palestinians
34%
Both
25%
Neither
3%
DK/ Refused
17%

 

Would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq to force Saddam Hussein from power? [IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, ASK: Is that strongly favor/oppose or somewhat favor/oppose?]

 

Favor
61%
Oppose
32%
DK/ Refused
8%

 

If the United States goes to war with Iraq, should we fight the war alone if no other allies want to fight with us, or should we go to war with Iraq ONLY if we can get other nations to fight with us?

 

Do it alone
24%
Only with allies
61%
No opinion
8%
DK/ Refused
7%

 

Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future of Latinos in your state? [IF OPTIMISTIC/ PESSIMISTIC, ASK: Is that very optimistic/pessimistic or somewhat optimistic/pessimistic?]

 

Optimistic
79%
Pessimistic
14%
DK/ Refused
6%

 

In the next Presidential Election, many people believe that Latinos will determine who is the next President of the United States Please choose the top 3 MOST important issues to you in determining your vote for President. (NET ALL CHOICES)

 

Public Ed. Reform
51%
Legalizing Vouchers
14%
Legalizing for undocumented workers
17%
Health care access
32%
Strengthening jobs and wages
22%
Homeland Security/Strengthening the military
16%
Strengthening gun control
6%
Corporate Scandals
5%
Crime and drug reform
14%
Building more affordable housing
13%
Privatizing Social Security
10%
Prescription drugs for seniors
17%
Raising the minimum wage
16%
Balancing the budget
9%
Tax Cuts
13%
Protecting the environment
9%
Other (specify)
7%
DK/ Refused
3%

 

Do you currently have health insurance? IF YES, ASK: Are you covered by Medicare, Medicaid, health insurance through your work or union, health insurance bought by you or your family for which you pay the entire bill, or any other state insurance program?

 

No
18%
Yes, Medicare
19%
Yes, Medicaid
9%
Yes, health insurance through work or union
40%
Yes, family policy
9%
Yes, other state insurance program
4%
DK/ Refused
1%

 

Do you currently have health insurance? IF YES, ASK: Are you covered by Medicare, Medicaid, health insurance through your work or union, health insurance bought by you or your family for which you pay the entire bill, or Medical?

 

No
21%
Yes, Medicare
13%
Yes, Medicaid
3%
Yes, health insurance through work or union
49%
Yes, family policy
7%
Yes, other state insurance program
4%
DK/ Refused
2%

 

Which ONE of the following do you consider the most serious problem facing the healthcare system? Is it ...

 

People lack health insurance
15%
HMO's deny procedures to patients
18%
Medicare/ Medicaid system may run short of funds
10%
Poor quality of doctors and healthcare workers
6%
Cost of prescription drugs
13%
Cost of prescription drugs
20%
All of the above
14%
None of the above
2%
DK/ Refused
3%

 

Which one of the following do you think should have the most responsibility for ensuring that Latino families receive health insurance coverage: (ROTATE) the government, employers and businesses, or individuals themselves?

 

The government
39%
Employers and businesses
28%
Individuals themselves
19%
All
9%
None of the above/ Other
1%
DK/ Refused
3%

 

Which ONE of the following do you think should be the MOST important goal when it comes to reforming the Social Security system:

 

Giving people more personal control over their Social Security savings
19%
Assure the long-term stability of the Social Security system
30%
Reduce poverty among the elderly
14%
Pay retirees the benefits they are owed
28%
Other
1%
DK/ Refused
8%

 

The Republicans in Congress have proposed a plan to change the current Social Security system so that people could invest some of their Social Security taxes into private investment accounts in the stock market. When they retire, their benefits could either be higher or lower, depending on the stock market's performance. Would you support or oppose this plan to allow people to invest some of their Social Security taxes into private investment accounts in the stock market? [OF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, ASK: Is that strongly or somewhat support/oppose?]

 

Favor
36%
Oppose
55%
DK/ Refused
9%

 

Republicans say that Democrats are just trying to scare seniors with their attacks on the Social Security issue, because the Republican plan does not cut any Social Security benefits for today's seniors. Democrats say that they are raising legitimate criticisms and problems with the Republican plan to change Social Security. Which comes closer to your point of view - (a) the Democrats are just trying to scare seniors or (b) the Democrats are raising legitimate criticisms and problems?

 

Democrats trying to scare seniors
22%
Democrats raising legitimate concerns
54%
Some of both
7%
DK/ Refused
17%

 

Do you support or oppose the United States lifting the current trade embargo against Cuba, which has been in place for the last 40 years? [IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, ASK: Is that strongly or somewhat favor/oppose?]

 

Favor
45%
Oppose
38%
DK/ Refused
17%

 

Do you support or oppose legislation in Congress that would legalize approximately 1 million undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, ASK: Would that be strongly or somewhat?)

 

Support
63%
Oppose
28%
DK/ Refused
9%

 

Do you support or oppose legislation in Congress that would legalize approximately 1 million hardworking, taxpaying, undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, ASK: Would that be strongly or somewhat?)

 

Support
71%
Oppose
21%
DK/ Refused
8%

 

Over the past eight years, has the quality of public schools and education in your area gotten much better, somewhat better, somewhat worse, or much worse in the past eight years?

 

Better
51%
Worse
31%
Neither
6%
DK/ Refused
11%

 

Thinking about the public school system, please tell me which ONE of the following statements do you agree with most:

 

Fine, no reform needed
8%
Need minor reform
26%
Need major reform
53%
Broken, can't be fixed
4%
DK/ Refused
10%

 

In areas where the local public schools are not improving, would you support or oppose the federal government giving parents money or vouchers to send their children to private or religious schools? [IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, ASK: Is that strongly support/oppose or somewhat support/oppose?]

 

Support
51%
Oppose
39%
No Opinion
3%
DK/ Refused
6%

 

Currently, there is a debate in Congress over raising incomes for working families above the poverty level. Which ONE of the following statements do you agree with MOST:

 

Immediately raise the minimum wage from $5.15 an hour to $6.15 an hour
23%
The government should raise the minimum wage from $5.15 to $6.15 in stages
21%
The government should raise the minimum wages from $5.15 to $8.00 an hour
48%
None of the above
5%
DK/ Refused
4%

 

Where do you get most of your news and information regarding politics...

 

Newspapers
23%
Radio
8%
Univision
13%
Telemundo
9%
Local News Programs
17%
National News Programs
15%
Magazines
2%
Internet
5%
Other
7%
DK/ Refused
2%

 

What is your age please?

 

18-24
12%
25-29
6%
30-34
9%
35-39
9%
40-44
11%
45-49
9%
50-54
8%
55-59
7%
60-64
7%
65+
18%
DK/ Refused
3%

 

What is the last grade of formal education you have completed?

 

Less than high school
15%
High School Graduate
30%
Some college/ vocational school
26%
College graduate
19%
Post Graduate
8%
DK/ Refused
2%

 

Are you presently:

 

Single
25%
Married
54%
Divorced
6%
Seperated
3%
Widowed
8%
Unmarried/ living as a couple with someone
2%
DK/ Refused
2%

 

Do you have children under the age of 18 living at home with you?

 

Yes
39%
No
58%
DK/ Refused
2%

 

How would you describe the area in which you live?

 

Urban City
57%
Suburban
27%
Rural
11%
DK/ Refused
5%

 

How important would you say religion is in your life - very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all?

 

Important
90%
Not Important
8%
DK/ Refused
3%

 

What is your religious preference? Do you consider yourself:

 

Catholic
71%
Protestant
10%
Mormon
1%
Jehovah's witness
1%
Pentecostal
4%
Presbyterian
1%
Baptist
2%
Agnostic
1%
Atheist
1%
DK/ Refused
9%

 

In what country were you born? If you were born in Puerto Rico, please say so.

 

United States
48%
Puerto Rico
15%
Mexico
13%
Cuba
11%
Dominican Republic
3%
El Salvador
1%
Colombia
1%
Other
5%
DK/ Refused
2%

 

How long have you lived in the United States?

 

Less than 5 years
2%
6-10 years
3%
11-15 years
4%
16-25 years
12%
More than 25 years
31%
Entire Life
46%
DK/ Refused
2%

 

Are you or is anyone in your household a member of a labor union?

 

Yes
20%
No
77%
DK/ Refused
3%

 

Some people prefer to be called Latinos; others prefer to be called Hispanic; and still others want to be identified by their country of origin or ancestry-such as Puerto Rican, Dominican, Colombian. How about you? Which of these doy you prefer to be called?

 

Latino
20%
Hispanic
29%
Country origin
19%
American
16%
Other
7%
DK/ Refused
9%

 

If you added together your entire household's income, in which of the following income categories would your family fall?

 

$10,000 or less
11%
$10,001 - $20,000
13%
$20,001 - $30,000
16%
$30,001 - $40,000
13%
$40,001 - $50,000
8%
$50,001 - $60,000
7%
$60,001 - $70,000
4%
$70,001 - $100,000
5%
More than $100,000
5%
DK/ Refused
16%

 

Which of the following comes the closest to your opinion regarding the issue of abortion?

 

Abortion should be legal and generally available
23%
Regulation of abortion is necessary, although it should remain legal in most circumstances
15%
Abortion should be legal only in the most extreme cases such as to save the life of the woman or in the cases of rape and incest
37%
All abortions should be made illegal
17%
DK/ Refused
8%

 

If there were a candidate for public office whom you agreed with on most issues but disagreed with on the issue of abortion, would you be much less likely to vote for that candidate, somewhat less likely to vote for that candidate or would the candidate's position on abortion make no difference in your vote?

 

Much less likely
24%
Somewhat less likely
25%
Make no difference
41%
DK/ Refused
11%

 

This November 5th proposition 52 allowing "unregistered eligible citizens with proper identification to register and vote on election day" will be on the ballot. If the election were held today how would you vote on this issue?

 

In favor of proposition 52
43%
Against proposition 52
35%
Not sure
14%
DK/ Refused
9%

 

Sources: WCVI - MirRam Group Opinion Poll

 

 
How Do Latinos Vote?
Phone Poll, Exit Surveys & More
Phone Poll, Exit Surveys & More
Antonio Gonzalez On the Airwaves
Antonio Gonzalez On the Airwaves