Election 2004 - Latino Exit Polls

National Exit Poll
(updated March 8th, 2005)

Presidential Race
Bush/Cheney
Kerry/Edwards
Weight
Election Day
33.6%
65.0%
0.8
Early/Absentee
40.9%
58.2%
0.2
Total Vote
35.1%
63.6%
1.0
N = 957

 

National Turnout Study Final Results
(updated March 8th, 2005)

Numbers in Thousands

Latino Voter Registration

Total Latino Votes Cast

Latino % Turnout
% Latino Share of Votes Cast

9,754*

6,954

71.3%
5.8%

Sources: WCVI Election Day Exit Poll, *WCVI Projection

The National Exit Poll covered 41 precincts in 11 states.
The total sample size of Latino respondents was 957.
20.3% of the surveys in the United States were conducted in Spanish.

WCVI 2004 Latino Exit Poll Final Results Powerpoint Presentation
(Updated March 8th, 2005)

The 2004 WCVI National Latino Election Day Exit Poll Analysis

THE 2004 NATIONAL EXIT POLL NEWSLETTER

Crosstabs (Latino Voters By)
Age Native Born vs. Foreign Born
First Time vs. Non-First Time Income
Education Level Cuban vs. Non-Cuban
Gender Religion
Media Source When Registered
Union vs. Non-Union Household Presidential Vote
Political Affiliation Political View

Language of Survey

 

Florida Exit Poll
(updated March 8th, 2005)

Presidential Race
Bush/Cheney
Kerry/Edwards
Weight
Election Day
50.8%
48.4%
0.85
Early/Absentee
69.7%
30.1%
0.15
Total Vote
53.6%
45.7%
1.0

Senatorial Race
Martinez
Castor
Weight
Election Day
53.7%
44.5%
0.85
Early/Absentee
71.3%
28.1%
0.15
Total Vote
56.3%
42.0%
1.0

Congressional Race
Amendment 5
(Florida Minimum Wage)
Democrat
51.0%
Favor
82.1%
Republican
47.7%
Oppose
17.9%
Other
0.3%
Amendment 1
(Parental Notification of a Minor's Termination of Pregnancy)
Favor
67.8%
Oppose
32.2%
N = 913

Florida Turnout Study
(updated March 8)

Numbers in Thousands

Total Latino Votes Cast

Latino % Turnout

% Latino Share of Votes Cast

811

74.7%

10.6%

The Florida Exit Poll covered 31 precincts in 7 counties.
The total sample size of Latino respondents was 913.
44.2% of the surveys in Florida were conducted in Spanish.

Florida Exit Poll: Unweighted Overall Frequencies of Election Day Latinos (Updated March 8th, 2005)

THE 2004 FLORIDA EXIT POLL NEWSLETTER

Crosstabs (Latino Voters By)
Age Native Born vs. Foreign Born
First Time vs. Non-First Time Income
Education Level Cuban vs. Non-Cuban
Gender Religion
Media Source When Registered
Union vs. Non-Union Household Presidential Vote
Political Affiliation Political View

 

 

Methodology

The WCVI National Election Day Exit Poll of Latino Voters was based upon a proportional-stratified-random sample of 957 Latino voters who were interviewed upon casting their ballots on Nov. 2, 2004. The sample was drawn from 41 precincts taken from 11 states. 80% of all Latino Registered Voters reside within these 14 states.

  • Eliminated all precincts having less than 5% Latino Registered Voters.
  • Eliminated all precincts having less than 50 Latino Registered Voters.
  • Weighted all precincts by total number of Latino Registered Voters in all precincts.
  • California and Texas were geographically stratified to insure that all regions of state would have an equal chance of being selected for the sample.
  • SPSS random sampling generator used to select precincts in all states.
  • Actual number of interviewees based on proportion of Latino Registered Voters in each precinct.
  • Intervals were every 3rd Latino voter in sparsely populated precincts and every 5th
  • Latino voter in precincts having more than 60% Latino Registered Voters.
 
How Do Latinos Vote?
Phone Poll, Exit Surveys & More
Phone Poll, Exit Surveys & More
Antonio Gonzalez On the Airwaves
Antonio Gonzalez On the Airwaves